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Agrideria Industrial LLC
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Agrideria Comercio Importacao e Exportacao LTDA

AGRIDERIA COMERCIO IMPORTACAO E EXPORTACAO LTDA

COMPANY ADDRESS

 AVENIDA DOM PEDRO II 285, SALA 7 A,  BARUERI , CEP 06401-060, SÃO PAULO SP BRASIL 


CNPJ- 53.855.675/0001-89 


EMAIL ADDRESS

agrideriacom@gmail.com 

cfo@agrideriaindustrialllc.com  


TELEPHONE

+55 11 93323 4052 (BRAZIL)

+1 917-742-5881(USA)

  

Agrideria already has its representation and office in Brazil, agrideria comércio importacao

COMPANY ADDRESS

 AVENIDA DOM PEDRO II 285, SALA 7 A,  BARUERI , CEP 06401-060, SÃO PAULO SP BRASIL 


CNPJ- 53.855.675/0001-89 


EMAIL ADDRESS

agrideriacom@gmail.com 

cfo@agrideriaindustrialllc.com  


TELEPHONE

+55 11 93323 4052 (BRAZIL)

+1 917-742-5881(USA)

  

Agrideria already has its representation and office in Brazil, agrideria comércio importacao e exportacao ltda is the company that represents all businesses in Brazil 

AGRIDERIA COMERCIO IMPORTACAO E EXPORTACAO LTDA WAREHOUSE

The new agrideria sugar warehouse will soon be available, only 5 km from the port of santos, where we will have stored 45 Icumsa sugar and 600-1200 Icumsa sugar. 

It will come into service this month of September 2025.


AGRIDERIA COMERCIO IMPORTACAO E EXPORTACAO LTDA PLANT

Agrideria owns extensive plots of land for the farming of sugar cane and processing to convert it into a refined product within our own structure.

Although been working with producers and other associates of the industry for many years, being a company that dominates the entire process from planting to the final refined sugar, we are able 

Agrideria owns extensive plots of land for the farming of sugar cane and processing to convert it into a refined product within our own structure.

Although been working with producers and other associates of the industry for many years, being a company that dominates the entire process from planting to the final refined sugar, we are able to confidently ensure the ability to have certified product on the market and deliver according to quality, schedules and time lines. 

In this plat we also have the ability to do packaging for 50 kg, 25kg and 5 kg bags as well as private label packaging for special orders. We will work on special programs according to our clients needs.



Brazilian agribusiness exports totaled US$15.4 billion in March, but fell 0.7% compared to 2025

Brazilian agribusiness performance shows slight annual decline, but maintains strong share in the trade balance


Brazilian agribusiness exports totaled US$15.4 billion in March 2026, according to data released by the Secretariat of Foreign Trade (Secex). The result represents a slight decrease of 0.7% compared to the same month last year, r

Brazilian agribusiness performance shows slight annual decline, but maintains strong share in the trade balance


Brazilian agribusiness exports totaled US$15.4 billion in March 2026, according to data released by the Secretariat of Foreign Trade (Secex). The result represents a slight decrease of 0.7% compared to the same month last year, reflecting the combination of lower shipped volume in some segments and price fluctuations in the international market.


Despite the overall decline, products such as soybeans, beef, cotton, and wheat showed positive performance, while ethanol, refined sugar, green coffee, and cellulose registered a decrease in shipments.


Soybeans sustain revenues with high international prices

The soybean complex continued to be the main highlight of Brazilian agribusiness exports in March. Shipments of soybeans reached 14.5 million tons, generating revenue of US$5.9 billion. Although the volume was 1% lower than that recorded in March 2025, international prices compensated for part of the drop. The average export value rose 5.3% year-on-year, reaching US$408 per ton.


In soybean meal, the exported volume totaled 1.9 million tons, a 4% increase over March of last year. The average price was US$347 per ton, slightly above that observed in 2025.


Soybean oil, however, registered a decrease in shipments. 180,000 tons were exported, a 7.8% drop year-on-year. In contrast, the average price rose for the third consecutive month, reaching US$1,165 per ton, a 13% increase.


Sugar exports grow, but prices fall

In the sugar-energy complex, VHP sugar showed an increase in the volume shipped. Exports reached 1.6 million tons, a 2% increase compared to March 2025.


Despite the increase, prices fell significantly. The average price of VHP sugar dropped 24%, to US$354 per ton.


Refined sugar performed even weaker. Shipments totaled 254,000 tons, a 19% decrease compared to the same period last year. The average price also fell, to US$421 per ton, a decrease of 18%.


Ethanol exports plummet 68% in March

Ethanol was one of the worst-performing products among Brazilian agribusiness exports. In March, shipments totaled only 74,000 tons, a 68% drop compared to the same month in 2025.


Even with the sharp reduction in export volume, the average price increased by 7%, reaching US$595 per cubic meter.


Cotton Exports Increase by 45% and Expand Share of Exports

Cotton lint exports grew significantly in March. The volume shipped reached 348,000 tons, a 45% increase compared to the same period last year.


The increase in shipments occurred even with falling international prices. The average price of the product fell for the sixth consecutive month, reaching US$1,532 per ton, a 9.4% reduction compared to March 2025.


Beef Exports Register Increase in Volume and Price

Brazilian beef exports maintained a positive trajectory. In March, shipments reached 234,000 tons, an 8.7% increase over the same period last year.


China remained the main destination for Brazilian beef, accounting for 102,000 tons, equivalent to 44% of the total volume exported.


In addition to the increase in shipments, the average price of exported beef rose for the fifth consecutive month. The value reached US$5,815 per ton, a 19% increase year-on-year and a 3% increase compared to February.


Conflict in the Middle East puts pressure on freight and logistics costs


The geopolitical scenario in the Middle East has begun to directly affect the logistics costs of Brazilian meat exports.


According to the sector, maritime freight per refrigerated container destined for the region has more than doubled in recent months. The value jumped from approximately US$2,800 to as much as US$7,000 per container.


The increase is related to temporary restrictions on strategic routes, such as the Strait of Hormuz, as well as cargo redirections and interruptions in maritime transport.


The rise in costs increases the pressure on Brazilian exporters, especially in sales destined for Middle Eastern countries.


Brazilian Chicken Meat Exports Grow, But Middle East Loses Strength


Brazilian exports of fresh chicken meat totaled 431,000 tons in March, a 6% increase compared to the same month in 2025.


The average export price was US$1,888 per ton, practically stable year-on-year.


Even with the positive result, shipments destined for the Middle East fell 19% in March compared to February, reflecting the logistical difficulties caused by the conflict in the region.


Nevertheless, more than 100,000 tons of chicken meat were sent to the Middle East during the month.


Other markets, however, compensated for the regional slowdown. China resumed increasing purchases after the avian influenza outbreak recorded in 2025. Japan, the European Union, and South Africa also increased their imports of Brazilian chicken meat.


Pork, corn, and wheat appear among the largest growth rates

Among the products with the greatest expansion in exports in March, wheat led with an 81% increase in volume shipped compared to the previous year.


Rice grew by 79%, followed by cotton, with 45%, and frozen concentrated orange juice, which advanced 34%.


Fresh pork also registered strong performance, with a 28% increase in exports. Corn advanced 13%, while beef and chicken grew 9% and 6%, respectively.


Green coffee and cellulose exports decline

Among the segments with the worst performance in March, ethanol led the losses, with a 68% drop in shipments.


Also registering a decline were green coffee, with a 31% drop, and cellulose and refined sugar, both with a 19% decrease.


Soybean oil exports fell by 8%, while soybean grain exports saw a slight decrease of 1%.


Accumulated agricultural exports grow in the first quarter

In the accumulated period from January to March 2026, several products still show positive export performance.


Soybean grain exports registered a 6% growth in volume shipped, while soybean oil advanced 33%. Beef accumulated a 20% increase, chicken grew 5%, and pork advanced 15%.


In the sugar-energy complex, raw sugar showed a 10% increase in exports, while ethanol accumulated a 61% drop in the first quarter.


Among agricultural products, corn saw a 15% increase and orange juice advanced 13%. Green coffee, wheat, cellulose, and tobacco continue to underperform compared to the first three months of 2025.


Outlook for the coming months

The trend for the coming months is for continued strength in soybean and protein exports, driven by international demand and price recovery in some markets.


On the other hand, geopolitical instability, high logistics costs, and falling prices for products such as sugar, cotton, and coffee may limit the growth of Brazilian agribusiness revenues throughout 2026.

Brazil reports a trade surplus of US$6.4 billion in March, and the Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services (MDIC) projects a surplus of US$72.1 billion in 2026

The Brazilian trade balance registered a lower-than-expected surplus in March, according to data released this Tuesday by the Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services (MDIC), which now forecasts a positive balance of US$72.1 billion in 2026, close to the lower end of the projection made in January.


The ministry's new estimate 

The Brazilian trade balance registered a lower-than-expected surplus in March, according to data released this Tuesday by the Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services (MDIC), which now forecasts a positive balance of US$72.1 billion in 2026, close to the lower end of the projection made in January.


The ministry's new estimate points to exports of US$364.2 billion this year, compared to the January forecast of a range between US$340 billion and US$380 billion. For imports, the MDIC expects a value of US$292.1 billion, compared to a range of US$270 billion to US$290 billion previously.


The increase in the projected level for imports led to a forecast of a surplus for the year of US$72.1 billion, compared to the January estimate of US$70 billion to US$90 billion. In 2025, the country recorded a trade surplus of US$68.1 billion.


According to the Director of Statistics and Foreign Trade Studies at the MDIC (Ministry of Development, Industry and Foreign Trade), Herlon Brandão, import projections are affected by the level of economic activity – which has shown resilience – and international prices. He stated that the potential persistence of price shocks due to the war in Iran could lead to further revisions of trade balance projections.


"We know that the international scenario presents challenges... but based on the information we have so far, looking at economic activity, exchange rates, and consumption, the models point to this result," he said.


"And even with variations, looking at the direction and level (of the projection), we observe a relatively stable and resilient Brazilian foreign trade in the face of crises."


MARCH DATA

The result for the month of March, a surplus of US$6.405 billion, was below the expectations of economists in a Reuters poll, which pointed to a surplus of US$7.350 billion. The month's performance was the result of US$31.603 billion in exports, 10% higher than in March 2025, and US$25.199 billion in imports, a 20.1% increase in the same comparison.


In exports, there was an increase in shipments from all sectors, with the extractive industry standing out with a 36.4% increase driven by a significant rise in oil sales. Gains were 5.4% in the manufacturing industry, with higher sales of meat and fuels, and 1.1% in agriculture, with higher sales of soybeans.


On the import side, there was a 54.4% increase in the arrival of consumer goods, 26.5% for capital goods, 16.2% for fuels, and 10.4% for intermediate goods.


In the first quarter, the country accumulated a trade surplus of US$14.175 billion, above the positive balance of US$9.606 billion for the first three months of 2025.

Brazilian Agribusiness Export Revenue Grows 7.4% in February, a Record for the Month

Brazilian agribusiness earned US$12.05 billion in export revenue in February, the best result in the historical series for the month, with a 7.4% increase year-on-year driven by shipments of soybeans and meat, according to a note from the Ministry of Agriculture.


Soybean complex products (grain, meal, and oil) registered a 16.4% increase i

Brazilian agribusiness earned US$12.05 billion in export revenue in February, the best result in the historical series for the month, with a 7.4% increase year-on-year driven by shipments of soybeans and meat, according to a note from the Ministry of Agriculture.


Soybean complex products (grain, meal, and oil) registered a 16.4% increase in total exports, to US$3.78 billion; followed by meat, with US$2.7 billion, a 22.5% increase.


Forestry products generated revenues of US$1.27 billion, a 1% decrease; coffee, US$1.12 billion, practically stable; and the sugar and ethanol complex had external sales of US$861.35 million, a 4.2% decrease.


China remained the main destination for Brazilian agricultural exports, with US$3.6 billion and a 30.5% share of total exports. Next were the European Union, with US$1.8 billion (15.2%), and the United States, with US$802.9 million (7%).

Brazil trade balance swings to $4.2 billion surplus in February, matches forecast

Brazil’s trade balance reached a $4.2 billion surplus ​in February, the Ministry of Development, Industry, ‌Trade and Services said on Thursday (March 5), swinging from a year-earlier deficit

Exports ​from Latin America’s largest economy rose ⁠15.6% from a year earlier to $26.3 billion, ​while imports dropped 4.8% to $22.1 billion.

Brazil p

Brazil’s trade balance reached a $4.2 billion surplus ​in February, the Ministry of Development, Industry, ‌Trade and Services said on Thursday (March 5), swinging from a year-earlier deficit

Exports ​from Latin America’s largest economy rose ⁠15.6% from a year earlier to $26.3 billion, ​while imports dropped 4.8% to $22.1 billion.

Brazil posted ​a $500 million deficit in February 2025.

The country’s economy is showing clearer signs of slowing after the ​central bank held interest rates at a ​nearly 20-year high of 15% since July last year.

Brazilian ‌shipments ⁠of items such as crude oil, iron ore and soybeans rose, while those of products including cotton and sugar declined.

On ​the import ​side, which ⁠is more diversified, the main drag in the month came ​from a fall in purchases of ​non-electric ⁠engines and machines.

In January, the ministry estimated that Brazil’s trade surplus this year will ⁠range ​between $70 billion and $90 billion, ​above the $68.3 billion surplus recorded in 2025.

Brazil's Trade Balance Reaches US$72.6 Billion Between January and the Second Week of February 2026

Exports Grow and Positive Balance Reinforces Brazilian Foreign Trade at the Beginning of the Year


Brazil's trade balance registered a surplus of US$5.136 billion between January and the second week of February 2026, with a total trade flow of US$72.625 billion. The preliminary data was released this Thursday (February 19th) by the Foreign 

Exports Grow and Positive Balance Reinforces Brazilian Foreign Trade at the Beginning of the Year


Brazil's trade balance registered a surplus of US$5.136 billion between January and the second week of February 2026, with a total trade flow of US$72.625 billion. The preliminary data was released this Thursday (February 19th) by the Foreign Trade Secretariat of the Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services (MDIC).


Surplus and Trade Flow at the Beginning of 2026

During this period, the country exported US$38.88 billion and imported US$33.744 billion, guaranteeing a positive balance for foreign trade.


In the second week of February, the weekly results showed:


Surplus: US$ 1.501 billion

Exports: US$ 6.952 billion

Imports: US$ 5.451 billion

Weekly trade flow: US$ 12.403 billion

Accumulated figures for the month up to the second week:


Exports: US$ 13.727 billion

Imports: US$ 12.934 billion

Positive balance: US$ 793 million

Trade flow: US$ 26.661 billion

Growth in daily averages of exports and imports

Compared to February 2025, there was significant growth in daily averages:


Exports: daily average of US$ 1.30 billion (+20.7% compared to 2025)

Imports: daily average of US$ 1.29 billion (+11.4% compared to 2025)

O Performance reinforces the recovery of Brazilian foreign trade and the strengthening of the country's presence in international markets.


Performance by economic sectors

Exports

Extractive Industry: +57.2%

Manufacturing Industry: +15.9%

Agriculture: +1.4%

Imports

Extractive Industry: +20.0%

Manufacturing Industry: +11.8%

Agriculture: -13.4%

The growth in exports of manufactured goods and the extractive industry contributes to the increase in the surplus, while the decline in imports from the agricultural sector indicates an adjustment in input flows.


Economic context and Central Bank projections

According to the Central Bank of Brazil, the 2025 trade surplus was US$ 60 billion, a decrease of 8.9% compared to the previous year, due to increased imports. Projections for 2026 indicate a continued positive balance, with exports between US$340 billion and US$380 billion and imports between US$270 billion and US$290 billion.


This performance reinforces the importance of foreign trade for the Brazilian economy, especially for the agro-industrial sector, which maintains a significant share of exports.

Brazil posts $68.8 billion current account deficit in 2025, central bank says

Brazil ran a current account deficit of $68.791 billion in 2025, equal to 3.02% of gross domestic product, the central bank said on Monday. The result was broadly in line with 2024, when the deficit totaled $66.168 billion, or 3.03% of GDP.

Fernando Rocha, head of statistics at the central bank, said the current account position remained “

Brazil ran a current account deficit of $68.791 billion in 2025, equal to 3.02% of gross domestic product, the central bank said on Monday. The result was broadly in line with 2024, when the deficit totaled $66.168 billion, or 3.03% of GDP.

Fernando Rocha, head of statistics at the central bank, said the current account position remained “quite robust.” He noted the deficit had been widening through February 2025 alongside stronger domestic demand, then stabilized through November before narrowing in December. The 2025 shortfall was the largest for the year since 2014, when it reached $110.5 billion.

Rocha said the external deficit was financed by long-term capital inflows, mainly foreign direct investment, which he described as high quality in both flows and stock. Foreign direct investment in the country totaled $77.676 billion in 2025.

He also said Brazil’s trade flow expanded in 2025, with record exports and imports, underscoring deeper integration into the global economy. Against that backdrop, he said the trade surplus posted a “slight reduction,” by $5.9 billion.

That was partly offset by a $2.2 billion narrowing in the services deficit and a $1 billion increase in the secondary income surplus. The primary income deficit—payments such as interest, profits and dividends—was broadly unchanged from 2024.

The central bank released the annual figures alongside December 2025 data, which showed a current account deficit of $3.363 billion, down from a $10.237 billion deficit in December 2024.

The December result was the smallest for that month since 2015, reflecting higher surpluses and smaller deficits across items in the balance of payments. The standout was the trade balance, which improved by $4.7 billion.

Trade and services

Goods exports totaled $350.899 billion in 2025, up 3.2% from 2024, while imports rose 6.2% to $290.947 billion. The trade surplus reached $59.952 billion, down 8.9% from $65.842 billion in 2024.

The services account—covering items such as travel, transport, equipment rentals and insurance—posted a deficit of $52.940 billion in 2025, a 4.1% improvement from a $55.182 billion deficit in 2024.

One key year-on-year change was a $5 billion reduction in net spending on personal, cultural and recreational services. The central bank attributed that shift to a regulatory change that, from January 2025, required online betting operators to become resident companies, meaning betting transactions no longer appeared in the external sector balance of payments.

Net receipts from financial services increased by $1.1 billion.

On the other hand, net spending rose by $2.5 billion for intellectual property services and by $941 million for telecommunications, computer and information services—categories tied to digital platform transactions such as streaming services and software sales.

In travel services, the deficit widened in 2025 to $13.850 billion, reflecting $7.865 billion in receipts—spending by foreign visitors in Brazil—and $21.715 billion in expenditures by Brazilians abroad.

Rocha said spending by tourists in Brazil was the highest in the historical series that began in 1995.

Brazil Registers Positive Foreign Exchange Flow of US$1.544 Billion This Year Driven by Financial Inflows

Brazil registered a total positive foreign exchange flow of US$1.544 billion in January up to the 16th, driven by the financial channel, which has accumulated net inflows of almost US$3 billion this year, the Central Bank reported on Wednesday.


The latest data are preliminary and are part of the statistics related to contracted exchange ra

Brazil registered a total positive foreign exchange flow of US$1.544 billion in January up to the 16th, driven by the financial channel, which has accumulated net inflows of almost US$3 billion this year, the Central Bank reported on Wednesday.


The latest data are preliminary and are part of the statistics related to contracted exchange rates.


Through the financial channel, there were net inflows of US$2.939 billion in January up to the 16th. This channel includes foreign direct and portfolio investments, profit remittances, and interest payments, among other operations.


Through the commercial channel, which accounts for exports and imports, the balance for January up to the 16th was negative US$1.395 billion.


WEEK

Last week, from January 12th to 16th, the total exchange rate flow was positive at US$2.215 billion, with the financial channel being the highlight, with a net inflow of US$2.524 billion. On Friday the 16th alone, US$1.674 billion entered the country through the financial channel.


This movement occurs amidst reports in the market, in recent days, of a strong flow of investments into Brazil, especially into the stock market, which continues to be considered attractive by foreign investors.


Last week, the commercial channel registered a net outflow of US$309 million.

Controlled inflation, rising surplus, and stable industry: Brazil's economic outlook for January 2026

Rabobank report highlights IPCA within target, record exports, and challenges for industry. Fed and Mercosur-EU agreement also moved the global scenario


Inflation ends 2025 within target for the first time in five years

The Broad National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) advanced 0.33% in December, according to Rabobank, ending 2025 with a 4.3% 

Rabobank report highlights IPCA within target, record exports, and challenges for industry. Fed and Mercosur-EU agreement also moved the global scenario


Inflation ends 2025 within target for the first time in five years

The Broad National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) advanced 0.33% in December, according to Rabobank, ending 2025 with a 4.3% increase — within the inflation target tolerance range for the first time since 2020. The result was close to market projections (0.32%) and below the November index (0.18%).


The appreciation of the real and the restrictive monetary policy helped contain inflationary pressures throughout the year, reducing costs of food, fuel, and industrial goods. The Transportation group was the main highlight in December, driven by airfares (+12.6%) and ride-hailing services (+13.8%), while Housing showed a decrease of 0.33%, influenced by the reduction in electricity tariffs.


Energy was, in fact, the item that most pressured inflation in 2025, with a rise of 12.3%, due to the constant use of tariff flags. For 2026, Rabobank projects inflation of 4.2%, considering a gradual slowdown in the economy and less impact from the agricultural harvest, although fiscal and exchange rate risks may affect the result.


Brazilian industry remains stable and signals a slowdown

Industrial production remained stable in November (0.0%), frustrating growth expectations. Compared to 2024, there was a decrease of 1.2%, with 15 of the 25 sectors analyzed showing a decline. The largest declines occurred in extractive industries (-2.6%), chemicals (-1.2%), and motor vehicles (-1.6%).


On the other hand, pharmaceuticals saw a significant increase of 9.8%. The categories of intermediate goods and durable consumer goods registered contractions, while capital goods and non-durable goods advanced slightly.


Even with modest performance, the industrial sector is still 3.2% above pre-pandemic levels. Rabobank predicts, however, that the scenario of high interest rates and restricted credit will continue to limit expansion in 2026.


Exports drive trade surplus above expectations

The Brazilian trade balance closed 2025 with a surplus of US$ 68.3 billion, exceeding market forecasts. In December, the positive balance was US$ 9.6 billion, resulting from exports of US$ 31 billion and imports of US$ 21.4 billion.


Among the export highlights are crude oil (+74%), soybeans (+73.9%), iron ore (+33.7%), beef (+70.5%), and coffee (+52.9%). China remains the main destination for Brazilian products, with a 39.1% increase in purchases, followed by Europe (+34.2%).


Imports grew moderately (+0.9%), driven by fuels (+42.9%) and fertilizers (+25.4%), reflecting the gradual slowdown of the domestic economy.


European Union confirms support for the agreement with Mercosur

After 25 years of negotiations, the member states of the European Union confirmed their support for the free trade agreement with Mercosur, which could eliminate up to €4 billion in tariffs on products imported from the South American bloc.


The pact foresees zero tariffs for fruits and coffee and a gradual reduction of tariffs for meat, sugar, ethanol, and rice over up to ten years. The official signing is scheduled for the coming days in Paraguay, according to sources from Valor Econômico and Estadão.


Global market attentive to Powell and the US economy


In the United States, the job market created 50,000 jobs in December, below projections. The unemployment rate fell slightly to 4.4%, and Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell was subpoenaed by the Department of Justice for alleged irregularities in the renovation of the institution's building — a fact that reignited debates about the Fed's independence and political pressures on monetary policy.


The global dollar showed moderate appreciation, but the real was one of the best-performing emerging market currencies, appreciating 0.71% during the week, quoted at R$ 5.38. Rabobank projects that the exchange rate will end 2026 at R$ 5.60, influenced by fiscal and political uncertainties.


Macroeconomic Scenario: 

What to Expect in 2026

Rabobank maintains its GDP growth projections at 1.6%, the Selic rate at 12.5% ​​per year, and a trade balance surplus of US$68 billion for 2026. However, the institution warns that the environment of fiscal and geopolitical uncertainties, as well as the electoral calendar, could bring volatility to the markets.


Despite the risks, the bank sees solid fundamentals in the Brazilian economy, with inflation under control and a favorable external position, factors that should support the real and foreign trade in the coming months.

Brazilian agribusiness exports hit a record in 2025, guaranteeing a historic surplus of US$149 billion

This performance was driven by increased sales of soybeans, corn, meat, and sugar, consolidating agribusiness as the main driver of Brazil's trade balance in 2025.


Agribusiness sector drives Brazilian trade balance.

Brazilian agribusiness ended 2025 with record exports of US$169.2 billion, according to data released by Itaú BBA's Agro Consu

This performance was driven by increased sales of soybeans, corn, meat, and sugar, consolidating agribusiness as the main driver of Brazil's trade balance in 2025.


Agribusiness sector drives Brazilian trade balance.

Brazilian agribusiness ended 2025 with record exports of US$169.2 billion, according to data released by Itaú BBA's Agro Consulting firm. The value surpassed the previous record, registered in 2023. Imports also reached the highest level in the historical series, totaling US$ 20.1 billion, resulting in a surplus of US$ 149.1 billion — a 2.8% increase compared to 2024.


The sector maintained strategic relevance in the national economy, representing 49% of all Brazilian exports in 2025, consolidating itself as one of the pillars of the trade balance.


Soybeans lead exports and beef gains prominence

Soybeans were once again the mainstay of foreign sales, with 108 million tons shipped, a 10% increase compared to 2024. Even with a 7% drop in average prices, the soybean complex (grain, meal, and oil) generated US$ 52.9 billion in revenue.

Beef exports also registered strong performance

 3.1 million tons were exported, a 21% increase, with an average price of US$ 5,374/t, resulting in US$ 16.6 billion in revenue.


Other animal proteins, such as pork, grew 12% in volume, while fresh chicken meat fell by 6%, reflecting the avian flu outbreak recorded in the middle of the year, which restricted import markets.

Coffee and pulp sustain gains amid volume declines

Even with an 18% decrease in export volume, green coffee reached a historical revenue record, totaling US$ 14.9 billion. The result was driven by a 60% increase in the average price of the product, which reached US$ 6,550/t.


Cellulose also stood out, with a 13% growth in export volume, totaling US$10.25 billion in sales, despite the fall in average international prices.

Sugar and ethanol face contraction with a more competitive international market

The sugar-energy complex was impacted by the fall in global prices and the increase in international supply, which reduced Brazilian shipments.


Raw sugar (VHP) saw a 12% decrease in volume and a 14% decrease in price, resulting in revenue of US$12.08 billion. Refined sugar fell 10% in volume and 16% in price, generating US$2.03 billion.


Ethanol, in turn, registered a 15% reduction in export volume, but with a slight increase of 4% in prices, totaling US$934 million in revenue.

Corn and Cotton Maintain Steady Growth

Corn exports reached 41 million tons, a 3% increase, generating US$8.47 billion in revenue. Cotton lint exports reached a record high volume, totaling 3 million tons—a 9% increase—although average prices fell by 12%, totaling US$4.93 billion.

China Maintains Leadership in Purchases of Brazilian Agribusiness

China continued to be the main destination for agribusiness exports, with US$55.3 billion in purchases—an 11.3% increase compared to the previous year. The main products shipped were soybeans, beef, and cellulose.


The European Union remained the second largest trading partner, with US$25.2 billion in imports, an 8.6% increase, concentrated in coffee, soybeans, and cellulose.


The United States accounted for US$11.4 billion in purchases, a 5.6% decrease, due to the maintenance of tariffs on some Brazilian products.

Outlook 

Diversification and added value remain challenges

According to Itaú BBA, Brazilian agribusiness will end 2025 with a solid performance, but faces the challenge of diversifying markets and increasing the added value of its exports. The trend for 2026 is for adjustments in international prices and increasing competition between sugar and ethanol, especially with the increase in corn production and global demand for biofuels.

Brazil projected a trade surplus of US$68.3 billion in 2025, and the government forecasts a surplus of up to US$90 billion in 2026

Brazil projected a trade surplus of US$68.3 billion in 2025, and the government forecasts a surplus of up to US$90 billion in 2026

Brazil ended 2025 with a positive trade balance of US$68.293 billion, the third-best annual result ever recorded, with record exports and stronger import growth, according to data from the Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services (MDIC) released on Tuesday.


Also on Tuesday, the MDIC presented its projection for the trade balan

Brazil ended 2025 with a positive trade balance of US$68.293 billion, the third-best annual result ever recorded, with record exports and stronger import growth, according to data from the Ministry of Development, Industry, Trade and Services (MDIC) released on Tuesday.


Also on Tuesday, the MDIC presented its projection for the trade balance in 2026, predicting a positive result of US$70 billion to US$90 billion.


According to the MDIC's estimate, this year should end with exports between US$340 billion and US$380 billion, while imports would be between US$270 billion and US$290 billion.


The US$68.3 billion surplus in Brazil's trade balance in 2025 exceeded government forecasts. The MDIC (Ministry of Development, Industry and Foreign Trade) projected a positive balance of US$60.9 billion for the year, in an estimate reported in October.


2025

Last year's trade result reflects a value of US$348.7 billion in exports -- the highest level in the historical series -- and US$280.4 billion in imports, also a record level.


Exports in 2025 were 3.5% higher than the previous year's result, a consequence of increased sales volume, more than offsetting a decline in average product prices. Imports, however, rose more sharply, increasing by 6.7% compared to 2024.


Amid the tariffs implemented by the United States on Brazilian products, there was a decline in shipments to the North American country, a drop of 6.6% for the year, according to the MDIC. The United States' share of total Brazilian exports fell from 12.0% in 2024 to 10.8% in 2025.


On the other hand, sales to China grew by 6% during the period, bringing the Asian country's share to 28.7% of Brazilian exports last year, compared to 28.0% in 2024. China is the largest buyer of Brazilian products.


In August of last year, the United States imposed a 50% tariff on a range of Brazilian products, causing alarm in productive sectors and leading the government to announce emergency credit and tax relief measures.


While producers sought alternative markets for their products, negotiations led the United States to expand exceptions to the tariff throughout the year, increasing the list of items exempt from the charge. In November, the government estimated that 22% of exports to the US remained subject to the 50% rate.


Breaking it down by sector, Brazil's exports grew most strongly in agriculture (+7.1%), followed by the manufacturing industry (+3.8%). On the other hand, exports from the extractive industry fell by 0.7%.


The annual balance was boosted by the December result, a surplus of US$9.633 billion, with US$31.037 billion in exports and US$21.405 billion in imports.

Brazilian Agribusiness Gains Traction in November and Increases Pressure for Efficiency in the Field

Brazil projected a trade surplus of US$68.3 billion in 2025, and the government forecasts a surplus of up to US$90 billion in 2026

Exports Total US$13.4 Billion, Growth Reinforces Need for Technology to Face Unstable Climate and Sanitary Requirements


Brazilian agribusiness ended November with a sign of strength in international trade. Even with more moderate global prices, sector exports reached US$13.4 billion, a 6.2% increase compared to the previous year, driven by

Exports Total US$13.4 Billion, Growth Reinforces Need for Technology to Face Unstable Climate and Sanitary Requirements


Brazilian agribusiness ended November with a sign of strength in international trade. Even with more moderate global prices, sector exports reached US$13.4 billion, a 6.2% increase compared to the previous year, driven by a 6.5% increase in shipped volume. Data from the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock confirm the expansion of Brazil's presence in the global market and reveal the growing importance of productive efficiency to sustain this performance.


From January to November, the country accumulated US$155.25 billion in agricultural exports, the highest result ever recorded for the period. China remains the main destination, with US$52.02 billion, followed by the European Union and the United States. Markets like India and Mexico have also expanded their purchases, while the trade liberalization of recent years has created more than 500 new destinations for Brazilian products since 2023, expanding opportunities for previously less consolidated supply chains.


However, the production environment is proving more adverse. Studies by Embrapa project a 46% increase in the incidence of agricultural diseases by 2100, affecting crops such as soybeans, coffee, vegetables, and fruits. According to Thiago Grimm, agronomist and specialist in agricultural management and technologies, climate variability increases operational risks. “Extreme events accelerate the cycle of pests and diseases, requiring greater precision in the use of inputs and in the protection of productive areas,” he states.


The November figures show this contrast between commercial expansion and pressure in the field. Soybeans generated US$1.83 billion, a 64.6% increase, while green coffee totaled US$1.5 billion. Cellulose exports reached US$939.2 million and cotton exports registered US$640.1 million, both with strong volume growth. Beans, pulses, and sesame gained ground thanks to the opening of markets such as Russia, Lebanon, Peru, and South Korea. Sesame exports had a record performance, with US$70.9 million and 72,300 tons exported.


To sustain competitiveness, the quality and regularity of production become decisive factors. This is where application engineering plays a strategic role. Failures in droplet formation, underdosing, or limited coverage compromise phytosanitary control, increase costs with reapplications, and amplify the risk of pest resistance.


Francisco de Carvalho, commercial manager of Hydroplan EB, highlights the structural dimension of this process. “Record exports depend on the producer's ability to protect the area precisely. When application is efficient, there is less loss and a lower risk of exceeding sanitary limits required by buyers. It's a silent engineering process that sustains the entire chain,” he states. With new international requirements, increased demand for traceability, and a more unstable climate, Brazil faces the challenge of reducing losses, optimizing inputs, and strengthening technologies that guarantee continuous productivity. Application engineering is establishing itself as one of the pillars that allows the country to maintain its position among the world's largest suppliers of food, fiber, and energy.

Brazilian agribusiness exports totaled US$13.4 billion in November 2025, growing 6% compared to 2024, according to Itaú BBA

Agribusiness exports decline compared to October, but surpass the previous year's performance


Brazilian agribusiness exports totaled US$13.4 billion in November, growing 6% compared to 2024, according to Itaú BBA


Brazilian agribusiness exports totaled US$13.4 billion in November 2025, according to data from the Secretariat of Foreign Trade 

Agribusiness exports decline compared to October, but surpass the previous year's performance


Brazilian agribusiness exports totaled US$13.4 billion in November, growing 6% compared to 2024, according to Itaú BBA


Brazilian agribusiness exports totaled US$13.4 billion in November 2025, according to data from the Secretariat of Foreign Trade (Secex) released by Itaú BBA's Agro Consulting. This value represents a 13% decrease compared to October, but a 6% increase compared to the same period in 2024.


The result reflects the strong participation of the soybean complex and the growth in sales of meat and corn, even in a scenario of mixed international prices and adjustments in agricultural commodity prices.


Soybeans Lead Shipments with a 64% Increase

The soybean complex was the highlight of the month, with 4.2 million tons exported, a volume 64% higher than in November 2024. The average price remained stable at US$ 435.4 per ton.


Soybean meal registered a 2.5% increase in shipments, totaling 1.7 million tons, although with an 18% drop in average prices, which stood at US$ 322.1/t. Soybean oil, on the other hand, saw a 47% decrease in export volumes, with 52,000 tons shipped, but the average price rose 17%, reaching US$ 1,133.5/t.


Beef Maintains Strong Export Performance

Fresh beef registered a 40% increase in shipments compared to 2024, totaling 318,500 tons exported. The average price was US$ 5,508.8/t, 13% higher than the previous year, generating revenue of US$ 1.75 billion.


Exports of fresh chicken meat fell 6.5%, totaling 377,000 tons, with a stable price of US$ 1,934.4/t. Pork showed a 14% decrease in volume, with 93,000 tons exported, and a 2% decrease in average prices, which stood at US$ 2,498.6/t.


Sugar, ethanol, and corn: mixed results in the sugar-energy and grain sectors

The sugar-energy sector showed uneven performance. Ethanol exports fell 38% compared to November 2024, totaling 66,000 m³, although the average price rose 10%, to US$ 654/m³.


VHP sugar shipments fell 4.2%, with 2.9 million tons exported and a 21% reduction in average prices, to US$ 372.3/t. On the other hand, refined sugar saw a 13% increase in volumes, reaching 377,000 tons, with an average price of US$ 414.5/t, 22% below that recorded in 2024.


In the grain market, corn registered a 6.4% increase in shipments, totaling 5 million tons, with an average price 5.5% higher than in 2024, at US$ 215.4/t.


Cotton and pulp grow; green coffee and orange juice decline


Cotton maintained a positive pace, with a 34% increase in exported volumes, totaling 403,000 tons, although with a 12% drop in average prices, now at US$ 1,590/t.


Cellulose also showed a 14% growth in volume, totaling 1.85 million tons, with an average price of US$ 507.8/t, slightly below 2024.


Green coffee shipments fell by 26%, reaching 212,000 tons, despite a significant 47% increase in average prices, which reached US$ 7,054/t. Orange juice registered a 20% decrease in exported volume, with an average price of US$ 3,442/t, an 18% drop compared to the previous year.


United States reduces tariffs and boosts new shipments

In November, the United States government announced the exemption of import tariffs for most Brazilian agricultural products, a measure that came into effect on November 13. The decision covers beef, coffee, orange juice, and various fresh and dried fruits, such as mango, açaí, cashew nuts, bananas, and papaya.


With the change, agribusiness exports to the US resumed growth, totaling US$643 million — a 19% increase compared to October, although still 57% below the volume of November 2024.


The American market is strategic for Brazil, and the expectation is for a gradual normalization of shipments in the coming months.


Accumulated exports from January to November exceed US$110 billion

Between January and November 2025, Brazilian agribusiness exports exceeded US$110 billion, supported by the strong performance of soybeans, meat, and pulp.


Itaú BBA highlights that, despite the slight retraction in November, the sector continues on a positive trajectory, with Brazil consolidating itself as one of the largest global exporters of food, fiber, and renewable energy.

Agricultural export revenue grows 18% in September year-over-year

In September 2025, exports totaled US$30.5 billion and imports US$27.5 billion, resulting in a surplus of US$2.99 ​​billion and a trade flow of US$58.1 billion. For the year, exports total US$257.8 billion and imports US$212.3 billion, resulting in a surplus of US$45.5 billion and a trade flow of US$470.1 billion.


These results, presented 

In September 2025, exports totaled US$30.5 billion and imports US$27.5 billion, resulting in a surplus of US$2.99 ​​billion and a trade flow of US$58.1 billion. For the year, exports total US$257.8 billion and imports US$212.3 billion, resulting in a surplus of US$45.5 billion and a trade flow of US$470.1 billion.


These results, presented on Monday (6) by the Foreign Trade Secretariat of the Ministry of Development, Industry, Commerce, and Services (Secex/MDIC), show that Brazil broke records for exports, imports, and trade flows not only in September but also for the entire year 2025.


Exports, comparing September 2025 (US$30.53 billion) with September 2024 (US$28.47 billion), showed a 7.2% increase. Imports grew 17.7% when comparing September 2025 (US$27.54 billion) with September 2024 (US$23.39 billion).


Thus, in September 2025, trade flows totaled US$58.07 billion, with a trade surplus of US$2.99 ​​billion. Comparing this period with September 2024, there was a 12.0% growth in the trade flow.


Year-to-date, exports, comparing the value from January to September 2025 (US$257.79 billion) with that from January to September 2024 (US$255.01 billion), showed a 1.1% growth. Imports grew 8.2% between the value from January to September 2025 (US$212.31 billion) and January to September 2024 (US$196.3 billion).


Finally, the trade flow totaled US$470.11 billion, representing a 4.2% growth when comparing these periods.


Exports and Imports by Sector


In September 2025, compared to the same month of the previous year, the performance of the exporting sectors was as follows: growth of US$1.03 billion (18.0%) in Agriculture; growth of US$0.56 billion (9.2%) in Extractive Industries; and growth of US$0.42 billion (2.5%) in Manufacturing Industry products.


Compared to the same month of the previous year, the performance of the importing sectors was as follows: growth of US$0.02 billion (3.5%) in Agriculture and US$4.56 billion (21.5%) in Manufacturing Industry products; there was a decrease of US$0.4 billion (26.1%) in Extractive Industries.


Year-to-date, compared to the same period last year, the performance of the export sectors was as follows: growth of US$1.21 billion (2.1%) in Agriculture and US$4.93 billion (3.7%) in Manufacturing; a decline of US$3.55 billion (5.7%) in Extractive Industries.


Compared to the same period last year, the performance of the import sectors was as follows: growth of US$0.37 billion (8.6%) in Agriculture and US$18.48 billion (10.4%) in Manufacturing; a decline of US$2.82 billion (22.1%) in Extractive Industries.

Brazilian agribusiness exports grow 1.5% in August despite US tariffs

Brazilian agribusiness exports grow 1.5% in August despite US tariffs

Value shipped to the United States fell 17.6% compared to the same period in 2024, but growing demand in other markets offset the decline.

On August 6, the additional 50% US tariff announced by Donald Trump in July of this year on products imported from Brazil went into effect. Although some Brazilian agribusiness products were included on

Value shipped to the United States fell 17.6% compared to the same period in 2024, but growing demand in other markets offset the decline.

On August 6, the additional 50% US tariff announced by Donald Trump in July of this year on products imported from Brazil went into effect. Although some Brazilian agribusiness products were included on the exemption list—approximately 21% of what the sector sells to the US and 1.5% worldwide (see chart below)—a significant drop in shipments of agricultural products was expected, especially those sold most to the US market.


Between July and August, a 27.7% decrease in agricultural exports to the US was observed, while on an annual basis (between August 2025 and 2024), there was a 17.6% drop. The reduction was concentrated in products such as beef, coffee, timber, sugar, and fish. However, the decline in sales to the US market was not enough to reduce the sector's total exports. In the same year-over-year comparison, agribusiness exports abroad increased 1.5%, despite a 7.8% drop between July and August—a variation considered normal for the period.


The small impact on the total exported amount is due to the relatively small share of products that Brazilian agribusiness exports to the US. In 2024, Brazil exported approximately US$164.3 billion in agricultural products to the world, with the US market accounting for 7% of this amount. As a result, the country was the third-largest destination for agribusiness shipments, behind the European Union (15% of total exports) and China (31%). Among the main agricultural products exported to the US are forestry products (US$3.7 billion in 2024), coffee (US$2.1 billion), beef (US$1.4 billion), orange juice (US$1.05 billion), and sugar and ethanol (US$871 million).


Among these products, beef was one of the most affected by the tariff hike, as the tariff on the protein, which was 26.4% outside the quota, rose to 76.4%. Between July and August, exports of this product to the US fell 48.7%, which is not normally expected given the strong seasonal demand during the American summer. Furthermore, year-over-year, the drop in export volume was 51.2%, something not seen for the month since 2022, when there was also a significant reduction in Brazilian shipments to the US. However, this wasn't enough to spoil a good year for overall Brazilian beef exports, which saw record exports in August and already has a cumulative export volume 14.4% higher than in 2024 for the same period. Shipments expanded significantly to countries such as Mexico, Paraguay, Argentina—which may indicate a reorganization of Brazil's major meat industries—and Russia. This year, the pace is expected to continue briskly, due to strong global demand combined with tighter supply.


In the coffee market, the impact was more significant. The product had already been experiencing poor export sales this year due to a harvest below its production potential. With the new tariffs, Brazilian coffee growers sold approximately 315,000 bags of coffee to the US in August 2025, a volume 17.5% lower than last year and 13% lower than the previous month. The decline in exports was also observed in other key destinations, such as the European Union, where there was a 30.3% decrease in August, year-over-year. Thus, the volume exported to the world between January and August 2025 reached 149,600 tons, 30.3% lower than in the same period in 2024.


Among forestry products, which were among the product classes exempt from the additional 50% US tariffs, timber and pulp exports showed distinct performance. Pulp sales to the US in August increased 29% year-over-year, while timber sales fell 22% year-over-year. Brazilian pulp shipments are experiencing significant expansion in several markets besides China (the largest buyer of Brazilian pulp), such as the UAE, Egypt, India, Argentina, and Türkiye. Thus, the volume exported to the world between January and August was 14.9 million tons, the highest amount in the last five years and 15.6% higher than in 2024. Meanwhile, the timber sector recorded the lowest total export volume for the same period since 2021, reaching 5 million tons sold abroad, and saw declines in exports to markets such as China, Mexico, and Japan.


Orange juice and sugar exports show contrasting effects of the tariff hike on Brazilian agriculture. The Brazilian citrus sector was exempt from Donald Trump's additional tariffs and managed to increase its sales to the US in August by 30.9% compared to action compared to the same period last year. The sugar sector, which already faces severe restrictions on exporting to the North American market, was left off the list of products exempt from the tariff hike and saw its exports to the US plummet by approximately 92.6% in August, year-over-year, and 79.5%, month-over-month. These products, despite having different weights in US imports, are clear examples of the effect of exemptions from the 50% US tariff.


Therefore, the impact of US tariffs on Brazilian agribusiness is heterogeneous. While on a macro level—that is, from a global perspective of the sector—no major losses were observed in agricultural exports in August, on a micro level—focused on segments and activities dependent on the US market—the scenario is different. The tariffs did not significantly alter the trajectory of Brazilian agribusiness shipments, which between January and August 2025 totaled US$111.7 billion, 0.02% more than in the same period in 2024. However, for agribusiness exporters that primarily serve customers in the US, the tariffs represented a financial shock. To truly understand the impact of the protectionist measure on these companies, it will be essential to monitor export data to better target public and private efforts.



Gross Value of Agricultural Production Exceeds R$1.4 Trillion

Result is 11.3% higher than the 2024 harvest


Soybeans continue to have the largest share, accounting for R$322.1 billion; peanuts saw the largest growth among crops

Soybeans continue to have the largest share, accounting for R$322.1 billion; peanuts saw the largest growth among crops — Photo: Antônio Neto/Embrapa

The Gross Value of Agricultu

Result is 11.3% higher than the 2024 harvest


Soybeans continue to have the largest share, accounting for R$322.1 billion; peanuts saw the largest growth among crops

Soybeans continue to have the largest share, accounting for R$322.1 billion; peanuts saw the largest growth among crops — Photo: Antônio Neto/Embrapa

The Gross Value of Agricultural Production (GVP), based on August 2025, reached R$1.406 trillion, according to data released today by the Ministry of Agriculture. This figure is 11.3% higher than the 2024 harvest.


For crops, the ministry indicated a 10.8% increase in GVP, which is expected to close the year at R$928.07 billion, up from R$837.52 billion the previous year. Among the products, highlights included peanuts, with a 43% increase, coffee (47.2%), soybeans (8.8%), corn (11.7%), castor beans (38%), and cotton (8.4%).


The most significant negative variations were recorded in potatoes (-61.1%), oranges (-17.9%), beans (-15.9%), rice (-10.2%), bananas (-3.5%), and sugarcane (-1.3%).


Regarding livestock farming, the Ministry of Agriculture (Ministério da Agricultura) indicates a 12.3% increase in GDP, rising from R$425.77 billion last year to an estimated R$478.08 billion for this year.


The ranking of the top five products that showed improved performance compared to the 2024 harvest was as follows: beef (20.5%), chicken (4.7%), milk (5.2%), pork (9.6%), and eggs (14.1%).


Regarding production values, soybeans continue to have the largest share, accounting for R$322.1 billion, followed by corn with R$164 billion, sugarcane with R$117.9 billion, coffee with R$115.2 billion, and cotton with R$36.6 billion. These five products combined accounted for 53.8% of the total GVP.


In livestock, cattle farming accounts for R$204.1 billion, poultry for R$111 billion, and milk for R$71.5 billion, with cattle farming accounting for 14.5% of the total GVP.


States

Regarding regional dynamics, the state of Mato Grosso represents 15.7% of the total GVP, with R$221.3 billion, followed by Minas Gerais with 12% and R$168.3 billion, São Paulo with 11.3% and R$159 billion, and Paraná with 11.2% and R$157.4 billion.


An analysis of products shows that, in Mato Grosso, soybeans, corn, cotton, and cattle represent 93% of the total state GVP, R$221.3 billion. In Minas Gerais, coffee, soybeans, and milk stand out, with a 57% share of R$168.3 billion. In São Paulo, sugarcane, coffee, and oranges account for 63.6% of the total R$159 billion. Finally, in Paraná, corn, soybeans and chicken represent 63.5% of the total of R$157.4 billion.

Trade Balance: Surplus in the Second Week of September is US$1.324 Billion

The Brazilian trade balance registered a trade surplus of US$1.324 billion in the second week of September. According to recently released data from the Foreign Trade Secretariat of the Ministry of Development, Industry, Commerce, and Services (MDIC), this figure was achieved with exports of US$6.935 billion and imports of US$5.611 billio

The Brazilian trade balance registered a trade surplus of US$1.324 billion in the second week of September. According to recently released data from the Foreign Trade Secretariat of the Ministry of Development, Industry, Commerce, and Services (MDIC), this figure was achieved with exports of US$6.935 billion and imports of US$5.611 billion.


For the year, from January to September 2025, the surplus totals US$44.572 billion – an 18% decrease compared to the same period in 2024, when the surplus was US$58.702 billion. The 2025 surplus is the result of US$240.847 billion in exports and US$196.274 billion in imports.


In the first two weeks of September, compared to the same period in September 2024, exports fell 2.2% to US$13.263 billion. This was due to a 4.0% drop in Agriculture, which totaled US$2.603 billion; a 1.1% drop in Extractive Industries, which reached US$2.852 billion; and, finally, a 2.8% drop in Manufacturing Industries, which reached US$7.643 billion.


On the other hand, imports grew 3.3% in the first two weeks of September, totaling US$11.503 billion in the same comparison, with an 11.1% drop in Agriculture, which totaled US$195 million; a drop of 8.9% in the Extractive Industry, which reached US$ 668 million and, finally, growth of 5.0% in the Manufacturing Industry, which reached US$ 10.611 billion.

Brazil's Economic Activity Falls 0.5% in July, According to IBC-Br, More Than Expected

Agribusiness exports total US$14.29 billion in August, maintaining a positive trajectory

The Central Bank's Economic Activity Index (IBC-Br) fell 0.5% in July compared to the previous month, according to seasonally adjusted data released by the Central Bank on Monday, a deeper contraction than economists expected.


It was the third consecutive month of decline for the index, which is seen as a signal for Gross Domestic Product.

The Central Bank's Economic Activity Index (IBC-Br) fell 0.5% in July compared to the previous month, according to seasonally adjusted data released by the Central Bank on Monday, a deeper contraction than economists expected.


It was the third consecutive month of decline for the index, which is seen as a signal for Gross Domestic Product. Economists surveyed in a Reuters poll expected a 0.2% contraction.


Compared to July 2024, the IBC-Br rose 1.1%.


The data comes on the eve of the Central Bank's Monetary Policy Committee meeting, where directors are expected to decide to maintain the Selic rate at 15% amid concerns about inflation projections and expectations. The interest rate announcement will be made on Wednesday.


Agribusiness exports total US$14.29 billion in August, maintaining a positive trajectory

Agribusiness exports total US$14.29 billion in August, maintaining a positive trajectory

Record shipments of beef tallow, seeds, beans, and peanut oil reinforce the diversification of exports and MAPA's strategy of expanding markets and adding value.

Brazilian agribusiness exports reached US$14.29 billion in August 2025, a 1.5% increase compared to the same month last year. This result was driven by a 5.1% increase in shipped 

Record shipments of beef tallow, seeds, beans, and peanut oil reinforce the diversification of exports and MAPA's strategy of expanding markets and adding value.

Brazilian agribusiness exports reached US$14.29 billion in August 2025, a 1.5% increase compared to the same month last year. This result was driven by a 5.1% increase in shipped volume, which offset the 3.4% drop in average international prices.


Soybeans, fresh beef, and corn accounted for the majority of the growth. Soybean shipments totaled 9.3 million tons, up 16.2% from August 2024, generating US$3.88 billion in revenue (+11%). Beef exports totaled 268,000 tons, a 23.5% increase compared to the previous year, totaling US$1.5 billion (+56%). Corn totaled 6.8 million tons, a 12.9% increase, generating US$1.36 billion (+17%).


In addition to traditional export products, some items achieved their best performance in history in August, a result of the market diversification strategy. Beef tallow exported 64,700 tons, a 17.2% increase compared to August 2024, totaling US$74.1 million (+36.4%), the highest value and volume ever shipped for the month. Oilseeds (excluding soybeans) reached 68,500 tons, a 10% increase, with revenue of US$71.3 million (+16.5%), both at record levels. Beans totaled 58,400 tons, a 29% increase, generating US$49.5 million (+27.5%). Pet food reached US$35.9 million, a 22.6% increase compared to the same period last year, also a record for the month. Another highlight was peanut oil, which grew from 2,900 tons in August 2024 to 13,300 tons in August 2025, a 358% increase, with revenue of US$20 million (+573.4%).


Geographic Expansion of Destinations

China remains the largest buyer of Brazilian agricultural products, with US$5.12 billion (a 32.9% increase compared to August 2024), representing 35.8% of the sector's total exports. It is followed by the European Union, with US$1.9 billion.


Among the expanding markets, Mexico stands out, with US$339 million, Brazil's second-largest trading partner in Latin America. Compared to August 2024, its imports nearly doubled (+91.9%), driven primarily by meat. Egypt, with US$342 million, a 14% increase in purchases, driven by corn. Also noteworthy is the growth in sales to Asian countries such as India (+37.3%) and Thailand (+9.5%).


The August results reflect the market opening and diversification strategy implemented by the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock. In August 2025 alone, 22 new markets were opened, and since August of last year, the number of authorized destinations has increased from 58 to 72. This growth is a direct result of the 55 international trade negotiation and promotion missions held in 2025, which have expanded access to different production chains.


September 7, 1822 – Brazil’s Independence

 The Path to Brazilian Independence

Brazil’s independence was a pivotal moment in history, marking the country’s break from Portuguese colonial rule. The occupation and exploitation of Brazil by Portugal began in 1500, shaping the nation’s economic and political landscape for over three centuries.

Dom Pedro I – The Leader of Independence

The

 The Path to Brazilian Independence

Brazil’s independence was a pivotal moment in history, marking the country’s break from Portuguese colonial rule. The occupation and exploitation of Brazil by Portugal began in 1500, shaping the nation’s economic and political landscape for over three centuries.

Dom Pedro I – The Leader of Independence

The driving force behind Brazil’s political emancipation was Dom Pedro I, son of King João VI of Portugal. The push for independence was fueled by growing pressure from local elites and a series of independence revolts. During this period, several Latin American nations were also engaged in wars against their colonial rulers, intensifying the regional demand for sovereignty.

The Cry of Independence – A Defining Moment

The Event That Marked Brazil’s Freedom

The defining moment of Brazil’s independence came with the famous “Grito da Independência” (Cry of Independence) on September 7, 1822. Dom Pedro I proclaimed the country’s separation from Portugal on the banks of the Ipiranga River in São Paulo. Shortly after, he was crowned Emperor of Brazil, marking the beginning of the Brazilian Empire, which lasted until 1889.

How Brazil Celebrates Independence Day

Brazil’s Independence Day is widely celebrated across the country. Most cities host military parades and student processions, paying tribute to the historical significance of the nation’s sovereignty. The date remains a symbol of national pride and unity.


Trade balance shows surplus of US$6.133 billion in August

In the last week of August, the surplus was US$1.474 billion, with sales of US$7.145 billion and purchases of US$5.671 billion.


The Brazilian trade balance recorded a trade surplus of US$6.133 billion in August, after a surplus of US$7.075 billion in July. According to data from the Secretariat of Foreign Trade (Secex) of the Ministry of D

In the last week of August, the surplus was US$1.474 billion, with sales of US$7.145 billion and purchases of US$5.671 billion.


The Brazilian trade balance recorded a trade surplus of US$6.133 billion in August, after a surplus of US$7.075 billion in July. According to data from the Secretariat of Foreign Trade (Secex) of the Ministry of Development, Industry, Commerce and Services (MDIC) released this Thursday, the 4th, the figure was achieved with exports of US$29.861 billion and imports of US$23.728 billion.


In the last week of August, the surplus was US$1.474 billion, with sales of US$7.145 billion and purchases of US$5.671 billion.


Year-to-date

For the year, the surplus is US$42.812 billion. Exports, comparing the value from January to August 2025 (US$227.58 billion) with the same period in 2024 (US$226.54 billion), showed a 0.5% increase. Imports grew 6.9% between the value for the first eight months of 2025 (US$184.77 billion) and the same period in 2024 (US$172.91 billion).


Projections

Last month's result was slightly above the median of financial market estimates, as indicated in the Broadcast Projections survey, of a trade surplus of US$6.050 billion in August.

Projections for this reading ranged from US$5.200 billion to US$6.500 billion.


Composition

In August, exports increased by 3.9% compared to the same period in 2024, with an 8.3% increase in Agriculture, totaling US$6.664 billion; an 11.3% increase in Extractive Industries, reaching US$7.263 billion; and, finally, a 0.9% decrease in Manufacturing, reaching US$15.766 billion.


Imports fell by 2.0% in August compared to the same month last year, with a 0.4% increase in Agriculture, totaling US$440 million; a 26.5% increase in Extractive Industries, reaching US$1.758 billion; and, finally, a 3.8% decrease in Manufacturing, reaching US$21.388 billion.

Brazil agribusiness secures 415 new market openings in 71 countries since 2023

The Brazilian government concluded sanitary and phytosanitary negotiations last week, resulting in new market openings for national agribusiness products.

In Togo, local authorities authorized the import of corn, brachiaria, soybean, and sorghum seeds from Brazil. Brazilian seeds are internationally recognized for their high genetic qualit

The Brazilian government concluded sanitary and phytosanitary negotiations last week, resulting in new market openings for national agribusiness products.

In Togo, local authorities authorized the import of corn, brachiaria, soybean, and sorghum seeds from Brazil. Brazilian seeds are internationally recognized for their high genetic quality, excellent germination rates, and stringent health standards, the result of continuous investment in research and innovation, which contributes to higher productivity and food security in partner countries.

In Indonesia, local authorities approved the import of live cattle for breeding, which will help strengthen local livestock production while offering Brazilian producers new opportunities to expand business in Asia.

With these announcements, Brazilian agribusiness has achieved 415 market openings since the beginning of 2023, in 71 destinations.

These advances are the result of joint efforts between the Ministry of Agriculture and Livestock (Mapa) and the Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MRE).

Source: Ministry of Agriculture

Trade balance shows surplus of US$1.286 billion in the second week of August

Exports drive a US$1.28 billion trade surplus in the second week of August, driven by growth in the agricultural, extractive, and manufacturing sectors. Brasília, 11 – The Brazilian trade balance recorded a trade surplus of US$1.286 billion in the second week of August. According to data from the Foreign Trade Secretariat of the Ministry 

Exports drive a US$1.28 billion trade surplus in the second week of August, driven by growth in the agricultural, extractive, and manufacturing sectors. Brasília, 11 – The Brazilian trade balance recorded a trade surplus of US$1.286 billion in the second week of August. According to data from the Foreign Trade Secretariat of the Ministry of Development, Industry, Commerce, and Services (MDIC) released this Monday, the 11th, the figure was achieved with exports of US$6.727 billion and imports of US$5.441 billion.


The accumulated surplus for the month of August is US$2.217 billion. For the year, the surplus totals US$39.199 billion.


Through the second week of August, compared to August 2024, exports grew 13.0%, totaling US$8.86 billion. This result was due to 13.1% growth in Agriculture, totaling US$1.90 billion; 17.0% growth in Extractive Industries, reaching US$2.08 billion; and, finally, 11.3% growth in Manufacturing, reaching US$4.83 billion.


Imports also grew 0.5%, totaling US$6.64 billion in the same comparison, with a 13.0% drop in Agriculture, totaling US$104 million; 14.6% growth in Extractive Industries, reaching US$434 million; and, finally, a 0.1% drop in Manufacturing, reaching US$6.06 billion.

Trade Balance for May totals US$ 53 billion and records growth of 1.9% in the trade flow

Trade Balance for May totals US$ 53 billion and records growth of 1.9% in the trade flow

Trade Balance for May totals US$ 53 billion and records growth of 1.9% in the trade flow

Positive performance reflects expansion in exports and imports, consolidating the advance of Brazilian foreign trade in May


Trade Balance for May totals US$ 53 billion and records growth of 1.9% in the trade flow

The Brazilian trade balance ended the month of May with a trade flow of US$ 53.074 billion, which represents an increase of 1.9% 

Positive performance reflects expansion in exports and imports, consolidating the advance of Brazilian foreign trade in May


Trade Balance for May totals US$ 53 billion and records growth of 1.9% in the trade flow

The Brazilian trade balance ended the month of May with a trade flow of US$ 53.074 billion, which represents an increase of 1.9% compared to the same period in 2024. The trade balance was positive at US$ 7.239 billion, according to data released this Thursday (6) by the Secretariat of Foreign Trade (Secex), of the Ministry of Development, Industry, Commerce and Services (MDIC).


Check out the main highlights of Brazil's trade performance below:


Year-to-date performance

From January to May 2025, Brazil accumulated:

US$ 136.9 billion in exports

US$ 112.5 billion in imports

US$ 24.4 billion in surplus

US$ 249.4 billion in trade flow

Comparison with May 2024


Compared with the same month of the previous year:

Exports had a slight drop of 0.1%

Imports increased by 4.7%

Trade flow grew by 1.9%

Performance between January and May


In the accumulated total of the first five months of 2025, compared with the same period in 2024:

Exports fell by 0.9%

Imports increased by 9.2%

Trade flow grew by 3.4%


Exports by sector – May 2025 x May 2024

Manufacturing Industry: increase of US$ 0.51 billion (+3.4%)

Agriculture: decrease of US$ 0.05 billion (–0.6%)

Extractive Industry: decrease of US$ 0.51 billion (–6.6%)


Exports by sector – Year-to-date

Agriculture: increase of US$ 0.55 billion (+1.7%)

Manufacturing Industry: growth of US$ 2.5 billion (+3.6%)

Extractive Industry: decrease of US$ 4.46 billion (–12.5%)


Imports by sector – May 2025 x May 2024

Agriculture: decrease of US$ 3.1 million (–0.6%)

Extractive Industry: decrease of US$ 0.82 billion (–45.9%)

Manufacturing Industry: growth of US$ 1.85 billion (+9.5%)


Imports by sector – Year-to-date

Agriculture: increase of US$ 0.35 billion (+14.3%)

Manufacturing Industry: increase of US$ 11.24 billion (+12.1%)

Extractive Industry: decrease of US$ 2.12 billion (-29.5%)


The trade balance continues to perform positively, despite sectoral fluctuations, reflecting the behavior of international markets and the demand for Brazilian products abroad.

Brazil's trade balance shows a surplus of US$7.239 billion in May, below expectations

Trade Balance for May totals US$ 53 billion and records growth of 1.9% in the trade flow

Trade Balance for May totals US$ 53 billion and records growth of 1.9% in the trade flow

Brazil's trade balance registered a surplus of US$7.239 billion in May, according to data from the Foreign Trade Secretariat (Secex) released this Thursday, with exports of US$30.156 billion and imports of US$22.918 billion.


A Reuters survey of economists indicated an expected surplus of US$8.292 billion for the period.


YEAR-TO-DATE

Secex da

Brazil's trade balance registered a surplus of US$7.239 billion in May, according to data from the Foreign Trade Secretariat (Secex) released this Thursday, with exports of US$30.156 billion and imports of US$22.918 billion.


A Reuters survey of economists indicated an expected surplus of US$8.292 billion for the period.


YEAR-TO-DATE

Secex data also showed that the year-to-date trade surplus up to May was positive at US$24.432 billion, 30.6% lower than that recorded in the same period last year.


The performance was the result of exports of US$136.927 billion, compared to imports of US$112.495 billion.

Trade balance records 1.5% growth in exports through the third week of May 2025

Trade Balance for May totals US$ 53 billion and records growth of 1.9% in the trade flow

Brazil leads global growth in agricultural production and boosts plant nutrition market

Surplus in the third week of May


Trade balance records 1.5% growth in exports through the third week of May 2025

In the third week of May 2025, the Brazilian trade balance showed a surplus of US$ 1.6 billion, with a trade flow totaling US$ 12.4 billion. Exports totaled US$ 7 billion, while imports reached US$ 5.4 billion in this period.


Accu

Surplus in the third week of May


Trade balance records 1.5% growth in exports through the third week of May 2025

In the third week of May 2025, the Brazilian trade balance showed a surplus of US$ 1.6 billion, with a trade flow totaling US$ 12.4 billion. Exports totaled US$ 7 billion, while imports reached US$ 5.4 billion in this period.


Accumulated for the month of May

In the accumulated for the month, exports reached US$ 16.8 billion and imports totaled US$ 12.5 billion, resulting in a positive balance of US$ 4.3 billion. The registered trade flow was US$ 29.35 billion.


Performance between January and the third week of May

From January to the third week of May 2025, Brazilian exports totaled US$ 124.1 billion, registering a growth of 1.5% in the daily average. Imports totaled US$ 102.1 billion, with a positive balance of US$ 22 billion and a trade flow of US$ 226.2 billion. The data was released this Monday (19) by the Secretariat of Foreign Trade of the Ministry of Development, Industry, Commerce and Services (Secex/MDIC).


Monthly comparison of daily averages

When comparing the daily export averages up to the third week of May 2025 (US$ 1.5 billion) with the full month of May 2024 (US$ 1.4 billion), there was an increase of 6.3%. In imports, the daily average in the third week of May 2025 was US$ 1.139 billion, growing 9.4% compared to the average in May 2024 (US$ 1.042 billion).


Trade flow and daily balance

Until the third week of May, the daily average of the trade flow was US$ 2.668 billion, while the positive daily balance reached US$ 388.36 million. Compared to May 2024, the trade flow grew 7.6%.


Exports by sector

In the period accumulated up to the third week of May 2025, compared to the same period of the previous year, the export sectors presented the following results in the daily average:


Agriculture: growth of US$ 17.65 million (5%)

Extractive Industry: growth of US$ 30.48 million (8.3%)

Manufacturing Industry: growth of US$ 41.98 million (5.9%)


Imports by sector

In the accumulated imports up to the third week of May, the daily average showed sectoral variations:


Manufacturing Industry: increase of US$ 124.65 million (13.5%)

Agriculture: reduction of US$ 1.57 million (-6.5%)

Extractive Industry: drop of US$ 26.21 million (-30.9%)


These data confirm a scenario of moderate growth in Brazilian exports and a significant expansion in imports from the manufacturing industry, reflecting the dynamism of the economy in the first half of 2025.

Brazil leads global growth in agricultural production and boosts plant nutrition market

Trade Balance for May totals US$ 53 billion and records growth of 1.9% in the trade flow

Brazil leads global growth in agricultural production and boosts plant nutrition market

Data points to a significant increase in the use of special fertilizers and investment per hectare in the country


Brazil is on track to maintain its leading position in global food production in the coming years. The country is expected to have increased its agricultural production by 41% from 2023 to 2026/2027, becoming the main “engine o

Data points to a significant increase in the use of special fertilizers and investment per hectare in the country


Brazil is on track to maintain its leading position in global food production in the coming years. The country is expected to have increased its agricultural production by 41% from 2023 to 2026/2027, becoming the main “engine of growth” in the world’s food supply. This advance is mainly supported by productivity gains and the intensification of harvests, factors that increase the demand for more technologically advanced solutions, such as special fertilizers.


Despite using only 11% of its territory for agriculture, Brazil is a global leader in the production of soybeans, coffee and sugar. Between 2016 and 2024, the area planted in the country (considering only cereals, legumes and oilseeds) jumped from 58.7 to 78 million hectares, while average productivity increased from 3.14 to 3.84 tons per hectare. This performance has been accompanied by a constant increase in investments per hectare, reflecting the growing technological development of the field.


As one of the pillars of this increase in productivity, investments in plant nutrition have registered accelerated growth. Sales of special fertilizers have accompanied the expansion of the planted area and, in 2024, are expected to reach R$266.2 billion. The largest revenues are concentrated in the states of Minas Gerais, São Paulo, Mato Grosso, Goiás and Paraná, which together represent approximately 68% of the national total.


The advancement of the plant nutrition sector is due not only to the increase in demand for productivity, but also to technological advances in the formulation of inputs and greater adoption by rural producers. With population growth and the need to ensure food security, Brazil continues to be one of the main global frontiers for sustainable agricultural development.

Brazilian Trade Balance Records Surplus and Growth in Exports and Imports through April 2025

By the second week of April, Brazilian exports exceeded US$90 billion, while imports totaled US$77 billion, resulting in a surplus of US$13.2 billion


Brazilian Trade Balance Records Surplus and Growth in Exports and Imports through April 2025

Trade Surplus and Growth in Exports


In the second week of April 2025, Brazil's trade balance recorde

By the second week of April, Brazilian exports exceeded US$90 billion, while imports totaled US$77 billion, resulting in a surplus of US$13.2 billion


Brazilian Trade Balance Records Surplus and Growth in Exports and Imports through April 2025

Trade Surplus and Growth in Exports


In the second week of April 2025, Brazil's trade balance recorded a surplus of US$1.6 billion, with a trade flow of US$12.2 billion. This result was driven by exports that reached US$6.9 billion and imports worth US$5.3 billion. Throughout the month, exports totaled US$12.9 billion, while imports totaled US$9.7 billion, resulting in a positive balance of US$3.2 billion and a trade flow of US$22.5 billion.


In the year to date, up to the second week of April, Brazilian exports exceeded US$ 90.2 billion, while imports reached US$ 77 billion. The surplus recorded was US$ 13.2 billion, with a trade flow of US$ 167.2 billion. These data were released by the Foreign Trade Secretariat of the Ministry of Development, Industry, Commerce and Services (Secex/MDIC) on Monday, April 14.


Monthly Performance Comparison

Regarding monthly performance, exports showed a growth of 3.7% when comparing the daily average of exports up to the second week of April 2025 (US$ 1.429 billion) with the same period in April 2024 (US$ 1.378 billion). Imports increased by 8.0% when comparing the daily average of imports up to the second week of April 2025 (US$ 1.1 billion) with the value observed in the same month of 2024 (US$ 995 million).


Thus, the daily average of the trade flow was US$ 2.5 billion, and the daily surplus also showed a growth of 5.5% compared to the previous year, totaling US$ 354.36 million.


Performance by Sector and Product

Exports:

In the accumulated period up to the second week of April 2025, compared to the same period in 2024, the agricultural sector grew by US$ 30.52 million (8.3%), while the manufacturing industry showed an increase of US$ 50.19 million (7.5%). However, the extractive industry sector recorded a drop of US$ 33.64 million (-9.9%).


Imports:

In imports, the agricultural sector saw growth of US$7.04 million (28.2%), while the manufacturing industry saw an increase of US$75.29 million (8.5%). On the other hand, the extractive industry saw a decrease of US$2.98 million (-4.1%) in its imports.


These figures reflect the dynamism of Brazilian foreign trade and changes in export and import patterns in various sectors, highlighting a scenario of sustained growth in some areas and challenges in others.

Brazil posts trade surplus of US$8.155 billion in March, higher than expected

Brazil's trade balance registered a surplus of US$8.155 billion in March, an increase of 13.8% over the balance recorded in the same month last year, the Ministry of Development, Industry, Commerce and Services (MDIC) reported this Friday.


The balance came in above the expectations of economists consulted by Reuters, who predicted a surplu

Brazil's trade balance registered a surplus of US$8.155 billion in March, an increase of 13.8% over the balance recorded in the same month last year, the Ministry of Development, Industry, Commerce and Services (MDIC) reported this Friday.


The balance came in above the expectations of economists consulted by Reuters, who predicted a surplus of US$7 billion for the month.


Exports totaled US$29.178 billion in the month, an increase of 5.5%% compared to March 2024. Imports, on the other hand, grew 2.6%, totaling US$21.023 billion.


The March data follows a strong negative result in the previous month, when the balance registered a deficit of US$323.7 million, the first monthly negative balance since January 2022, under the impact of the import of an oil platform from China worth US$2.7 billion, according to government data.


In the year, the country accumulated a trade surplus of US$9.982 billion up to March, a 46% drop compared to the same period in 2024. In the period, exports totaled US$77.314 billion (-0.5%), and imports, US$67.332 billion (+13.7%).


The Ministry of Foreign Affairs updated its estimates for the trade balance for the year, forecasting a surplus of US$70.2 billion in 2025, which would represent a 5.4% reduction compared to the 2024 balance. In January, the ministry had estimated a positive balance of US$60 billion to US$80 billion for the year.


The projection for exports was updated to US$353.1 billion (US$320-US$360 billion previously) and the estimate for imports increased to US$282.9 billion (US$260-US$280 billion previously).

Trump's tariff hike is not bad, but Brazil is at risk in relation to China

Experts see positive points in adopting a rate of only 10% for Brazil


US tariff hike ended up not being such bad news for Brazil at first, say analysts


The impact of the tariff hike announced this Wednesday (2/4) by Donald Trump, president of the United States, should not only consider the application of a minimum tariff of 10% for imports 

Experts see positive points in adopting a rate of only 10% for Brazil


US tariff hike ended up not being such bad news for Brazil at first, say analysts


The impact of the tariff hike announced this Wednesday (2/4) by Donald Trump, president of the United States, should not only consider the application of a minimum tariff of 10% for imports from Brazil, say experts interviewed by Valor. Some of them expressed specific concern about a possible “Chinese invasion” of the Brazilian market, of products that would be sent to the US and will have to be redirected.


For Livio Ribeiro, partner at BRCG and researcher at the Brazilian Institute of Economics at Fundação Getulio Vargas (FGV Ibre), it’s all a strategy to “play for negotiation”. “What worries me, in fact, is that we don’t know how willing everyone is to negotiate.” Although there is still a lot of “confusion”, he says, what Trump announced was a universal 10% tariff, applied to Brazil, but certain economies, such as the European Union and China, which are the largest holders of the trade deficit with the United States, will suffer higher tariffs.


For Ribeiro, the interpretation that a 10% tariff on Brazil and a 34% tariff on China could give Brazilian products an advantage in the American market is wrong. “What really matters will be the movement of all relative prices. We are at the beginning of the process, not the end. The margins for absorbing the tariffs are very different.”


According to Lia Valls, also a researcher at Ibre and a professor at the State University of Rio de Janeiro (Uerj), it is premature to say that 10% is a low tariff. Of the products that Brazil exports to the US, she says, oil and aircraft have zero tariffs. “Aircraft have high added value. A 10% increase makes a big difference in the price of an aircraft,” she emphasizes. “But I believe that there should be negotiations for these products. Embraer, for example, has a factory in the United States, which should lead to negotiations.”


Trump, says Valls, wanted to hurt Asia more, with higher tariffs for countries in the region.


The decision by the Donald Trump administration to impose 34% tariffs on Chinese products entering the US should have a secondary effect on global trade, which tends to hit Brazil hard, says Matias Spektor, professor and vice-director of the School of International Relations at FGV in São Paulo. With the American market becoming more closed to China, Chinese manufacturers tend to seek other markets for their cheap products. And Brazil should be one of the targets.


“One of the biggest problems for Brazil now will be the flood of products from other countries that, unable to enter the American market, will end up spreading around the world. The biggest concern, obviously, is with Chinese products because China has a very important capacity to pressure Brazil,” he told Valor.


“Since Brazil depends heavily on China, since the country is the destination for about 30% of Brazilian exports, China has enormous political leverage with us,” he said. “So the unintended effect of the new US tariffs will be to create a more tense trade relationship between Brazil and China.”


Spektor notes that the US decision to leave Brazil in the group of countries least affected by the new tariff rule, with only 10%, is a positive point. Even so, the percentage will weigh on the business of many exporters in Brazil who currently see their products entering the American market with lower tariffs.


There are two positive points to be taken from the announcement made by the President of the United States, Donald Trump, according to the economist at Tendências Consultoria, Silvio Campos Neto. The first is the decision not to adopt a universal tariff - there was speculation of up to 20% for all American trading partners. The second is that Brazil received the minimum level of the reciprocal tariff, of 10%.


“It is a temporary relief, but the fact that many countries had much higher tariffs, including very important trading partners, such as the European Union, Japan and China, suggests that Trump's announcement is just the starting point for a negotiation process between the US and the entire planet”, he says. For the economist at Tendências, the country needs to continue the work of convincing American authorities about the harmful effects of tariffs and the complementarity of some industries, such as steel.

Brazilian Agribusiness: Economic Pillar and Global Potential

Brazilian agricultural sector stands out on the global stage, with challenges and growth prospects


Agribusiness, one of the main drivers of the Brazilian economy, encompasses a vast set of activities that go beyond simple agricultural production. According to J. O. Menten, Senior Professor at ESALQ/USP, President of the Scientific Council 

Brazilian agricultural sector stands out on the global stage, with challenges and growth prospects


Agribusiness, one of the main drivers of the Brazilian economy, encompasses a vast set of activities that go beyond simple agricultural production. According to J. O. Menten, Senior Professor at ESALQ/USP, President of the Scientific Council for Sustainable Agriculture (CCAS) and member of the Brazilian Academy of Agricultural Sciences (ABCA), agribusiness is made up of three major stages: “before the farm gate” (agricultural inputs and machinery), “inside the farm gate” (plant and animal production) and “after the farm gate” (agribusiness and agribusiness services). This concept is much broader than agricultural production, which is usually seen as the main activity of the sector. In Brazil, the contribution of agribusiness to the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is divided as follows: 6% comes from the "before the farm gate" phase, 28% from the "inside the farm gate" phase and 66% from the "after the farm gate" phase.


Over the past 50 years, agribusiness has established itself as one of the pillars of the Brazilian economy, accounting for 24% of the country's GDP, 27% of jobs and 49% of exports. The sector has shown a favorable trade balance, with exports far exceeding imports. In terms of social impact, agribusiness has contributed significantly to reducing the cost of basic food in Brazil, which has fallen by more than 43% in the past 50 years.


Production and Exports

Brazil stands out worldwide in the production and export of various agricultural products, such as soybeans, corn, coffee, sugar, ethanol, orange juice, cotton, beef, pork, chicken, forestry products and tobacco. The main destinations for these exports include China, other Asian countries, the European Union, the Middle East, North Africa, Latin America, the US/Canada and sub-Saharan Africa. Brazil exports to almost every country in the world, although there is still great potential to expand its markets.


On the other hand, Brazil imports a relatively small amount of agricultural products, relying mainly on fertilizers, animal health products, pesticides, vegetable oils, wheat and fish. In 2024, Brazilian exports from the agricultural sector reached approximately US$ 160 billion, while imports totaled US$ 40 billion, resulting in a positive balance of approximately US$ 120 billion in the trade balance.


Strengths and Challenges

Brazilian agribusiness has a series of competitive advantages, such as the abundance of arable land, a favorable climate, technology adapted to the tropical environment, qualified human resources, entrepreneurship and the production of agrofuels. These factors allow Brazil to maintain competitive production costs in relation to other agricultural powerhouses, such as China, India, the European Union, the United States and Indonesia. Brazil ranks third in the world as an exporter of agricultural products, surpassed only by the European Union and the United States, and is the country with the largest positive trade balance in the sector.


Despite its success, Brazilian agribusiness faces significant challenges, such as the need for improvements in infrastructure and logistics, the development of biotechnology, tax issues, the provision of credit and rural insurance, regulatory frameworks and effective communication. In addition, land issues need to be resolved to ensure the sustainable growth of the sector.


Conclusion

Given its central role in the national economy and its potential to consolidate itself as a global agro-environmental powerhouse, it is essential that Brazilian agribusiness continues to be valued and respected. February 25, the date dedicated to Agribusiness Day, should be a moment to reflect on the public policies needed to strengthen the sector, as well as the essential investments to ensure its sustainable growth in the coming years. Brazil must continue working to establish itself as a leader in global agribusiness, with a model that combines innovation, sustainability and social responsibility.

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